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The results of the CIO Sentiment Survey broken down into investment impact and themes
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Equity and bond markets both showed strong annual returns as 2023 drew to a close, with both showing their strongest growth since the beginning of the pandemic. With markets returning to positive territory, asset owners began to feel more confident in meeting their targets, with 57 per cent of respondents confident in this regard compared to 36 per cent last year.
With more room to move, they showed greater willingness to make substantive allocation changes. At 47 per cent, the proportion of CIOs making allocation changes has returned to 2021 levels.
At 47%, the proportion of CIOs making allocation changes has returned to 2021 levels.
Markets have returned to positive territory
Equity and Bond Market Total Returns
Total return %, 2019-2023
Percent of CIOs Making Allocation Changes
Median, including equity, fixed income and solutions, 2022-2024
Responses on equity and fixed income allocations were too varied to point to a broad-based upward or downward trend in these asset classes overall, but significant changes were taking place under the hood.
Respondents who were concerned about equity valuations were drawing down from active positions. When asked what allocation shifts they planned to implement in their portfolios in the year ahead, one of the largest planned increases was in passive equity, alongside similar decreases in active equity, reflecting concerns about over-valuation.
There were also significant planned increases in active core and core + fixed income and active high yield fixed income to take advantage of elevated yields.
There was a broad appetite for alternatives with a larger proportion of respondents planning to increase their alternatives exposures than decrease them. This brought significant planned increases in allocations to infrastructure, private debt and, to a lesser extent, private equity and venture capital. A quarter of respondents planned to slightly decrease their real estate allocations.
“Markets rebounded very well in 2023 and asset owners are now feeling more confident,” Cullen said. “But most of the changes we are seeing are still on the private market side, they are still not looking so much at public equities.”
Planned Allocation Changes
Average, % of respondents, 2024
Equity
Fixed Income
Alternatives
2022 CIO SENTIMENT SURVEY